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NTS Bulletin

NTS Bulletin October 2011 (Issue 2)

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Water Insecurities: The Singapore Experience

Water is essential for socioeconomic development and for maintaining healthy ecosystems. However, pressure on water resources has intensified due to growing populations and increasing development, leading to tensions between users and posing a non-traditional security threat. The fact that there is no substitute for water further complicates the situation. It is therefore unsurprising that scholars have increasingly identified freshwater scarcity as a potential source of conflict in the 21st century and beyond.

The potential linkages between water scarcity and conflict are most pronounced in arid regions such as the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). According to the Water Stress Index 2011, all 16 nations suffering extreme water stress hail from the MENA region. MENA is thus not only the world’s most water-stressed region but also one of the most politically volatile. Growing water scarcity is likely to worsen the already dire socioeconomic and political conditions of the region, creating further human insecurities. Judicious management of water resources therefore is key to maintaining stability in an increasingly thirsty world.

Singapore is well-positioned to offer an example in this regard. The city state has long relied on Malaysia for approximately 40 per cent of its freshwater needs under two water agreements signed in 1961 (expired in 2011) and 1962 (expires in 2062) respectively. These two agreements are regarded as fundamental to Singapore’s existence; so much so that the city state is apparently prepared to go to war if Malaysia ever dishonours them.

Despite this, the general mood following the expiration of the 1961 treaty on 31 August 2011 is one of optimism rather than insecurity. This optimism is due to Singapore’s growing confidence in its technical capability to meet its freshwater needs through rain water capture, water recycling and desalinisation. Together these sources satisfy around 70 per cent of Singapore’s water needs. Besides these supply-side initiatives, demand for water is also contained through various water conservation and efficient-use initiatives which allow Singapore to reduce its domestic water consumption from 172 litres per capita per day in 1995 to 154 litres today. Water-stressed countries may well learn from Singapore and turn weakness into strategic strengths.

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INTERNAL AND CROSS-BORDER CONFLICT

News & Commentaries

Selected Publications

This NTS Alert discusses how ASEAN can contribute to preserving regional security amid heightened expectations for it to play a greater role in security governance. It uses the Thai-Cambodian border dispute as a case to analyse ASEAN’s approach to conflict management and resolution. It notes that the powerful domestic socio-political forces and relationships between member states are crucial factors that decide the effectiveness of ASEAN in managing conflicts, in addition to the regional preference for non-interference.

This NTS Alert examines the implications of new institutional developments on security governance, such as the establishment of the ASEAN Defence Ministers’ Meeting-Plus (ADMM-Plus). It argues that the new forums provide an opportunity for ASEAN to evolve its regional security framework towards a more coherent architecture.

Despite tensions between traditional understandings of sovereignty and the need for states to exercise the Responsibility to Protect (RtoP) in humanitarian crises, this paper argues that ASEAN has become more receptive to the RtoP through a subtle realignment of non-interference and the RtoP principle. Regional states are adopting a more accommodative understanding of non-interference and accepting a localised variant of RtoP which permits restrained but necessary external responses to major humanitarian crises.

Events & Announcements

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MIGRATION

News & Commentaries

Selected Publications

This briefing, which studied the outcome of the British asylum system over the period 1997–2010, observed that the UK asylum system’s cost to the taxpayer, including the cost of legal aid and the cost of the courts involved, was close to £10 billion or nearly £2.3 million a day over the said period. It further noted that an asylum seeker who sets foot on British soil has a 77 per cent chance of staying – whatever the merits of his/her case.

This paper analyses the role of welfare systems in shaping migration patterns in Central and Eastern Europe over the transition process and after EU accession. It argues that states have played a crucial role in affecting migration by creating and widening opportunities for potential and actual migrants through welfare system policies.

According to the study, backlogs in the American system for both family-sponsored and employment-based immigration have created long waiting times for green card applications. For example, an Indian immigrant classified under the most common skilled employment based category, called the 3rd preference or EB-3, will have to potentially wait 70 years to receive a green card. The study concluded that failure by policymakers to address this issue would lead to much hardship for the immigrants and weaken the competitiveness of US companies.

Events & Announcements

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TRANSNATIONAL CRIME

News & Commentaries

Selected Publications

With the objective of reducing demand in industries susceptible to human trafficking practices, this report analyses information on demand for prostitution and cheap labour from Europe and Eurasia, and includes a variety of good practices in demand reduction. Policymakers and practitioners can integrate this knowledge of good practices into anti-trafficking policies and measures.

Despite the growth of human rights protection following the 19th and 20th century experiences of transatlantic and white slavery, human trafficking persists. The article suggests that a cross-analysis of the economic incentives and structures of the transatlantic slave trade, white slavery and contemporary human trafficking can lead to more effective anti-human trafficking measures.

Events & Announcements

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WATER SECURITY

News & Commentaries

Selected Publications

Seventy per cent of the world’s population is projected to live in urban areas by 2050. As such, issues such as water scarcity, decreasing water quality and water pollution, water overuse and associated salt-water intrusion combine with infrastructural, institutional and social problems to pose serious threats to urban water security. In light of these, the report calls for an emphasis on sustainability and urban water management to integrate solutions such as awareness raising exercises to reduce consumption, law enforcement and controls, reusing and recycling of storm- and wastewater, corporate water stewardship, economic and fiscal incentives and instruments, cost recovery, integrated river basin management, payment for environmental services, and climate change adaptation.

Bioenergy production and use have both positive and negative environmental and socioeconomic consequences, including those pertaining to water. This report however argues that as a rapidly growing sector, bioenergy can serve as a high-profile leverage point to raise awareness of water-related issues and to stimulate the implementation of best management practices in areas where this might otherwise not occur. Bioenergy also offers options for synergy with other sectors, which need to be further explored.

This report documents trends in population and water deliveries for 100 cities and for water agencies in the US and Mexico that use water from the Colorado River Basin. The report observes that although total population in these areas grew by more than 10 million between 1990 and 2008, water use per person dropped by around 20 per cent over the same period (around 1 per cent per year) due to increased water efficiency and conservation.

Events & Announcements

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You are free to publish this material in its entirety or only in part in your newspapers, wire services, internet-based information networks and newsletters and you may use the information in your radio-TV discussions or as a basis for discussion in different fora, provided full credit is given to the author(s) and the Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS). Kindly inform the publisher (NTS_Centre@ntu.edu.sg) and provide details of when and where the publication was used.

About the Centre:

The Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies of the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies was inaugurated by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Secretary-General Dr Surin Pitsuwan in May 2008. The Centre maintains research in the fields of Food Security, Climate Change, Energy Security, Health Security as well as Internal and Cross-Border Conflict. It produces policy-relevant analyses aimed at furthering awareness and building capacity to address NTS issues and challenges in the Asia-Pacific region and beyond. The Centre also provides a platform for scholars and policymakers within and outside Asia to discuss and analyse NTS issues in the region.

In 2009, the Centre was chosen by the MacArthur Foundation as a lead institution for the MacArthur Asia Security Initiative, to develop policy research capacity and recommend policies on the critical security challenges facing the Asia-Pacific.

The Centre is also a founding member and the Secretariat for the Consortium of Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies in Asia (NTS-Asia). More information on the Centre can be found at www.rsis.edu.sg/nts.


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