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NTS Bulletin

NTS Bulletin June 2011 (Issue 1)

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MAIN HIGHLIGHT

Climate Change and Migration: What Are the Connections?

The Jakarta Post recently reported experts as saying that ‘[e]xtreme weather caused by climate change has given people another reason to migrate’. The comment was made in reference to a soon-to-be released report by the Asian Development Bank (ADB) titled Climate Change and Migration in Asia and the Pacific. The report seeks to illuminate ways in which climate will alter regional migration dynamics, and comes at a time when proclamations that climate change may cause large-scale global population movements largely dominate discussions. Early indications suggest that the ADB publication will present more tempered findings that identify climate change as a ‘relatively minor’ driver of migration among the many motivations to move. Such findings could contribute to a needed shift away from apocalyptic climate displacement analysis towards more nuanced approaches to the relationship between climate change and migration.

Much prevailing literature asserts that climate-change related displacement will create a host of challenges for both migrant and receiving communities and could result in reduced quality of life, societal friction and violent altercations. However, while the seriousness of existing and projected climate challenges leaves little doubt that climate change will have significant impacts across a range of geographical and political spectrums, the effects that it will have on human migration are difficult to assess. What is certain with regard to climate change and migration is that, as evidenced throughout human history, migration will continue to result from complex combinations of push and pull factors, underlying causal dynamics and trigger events. Rather than fundamentally altering the traditional contexts and characteristics of migration, climate change will act in concert with them.

In Southeast Asia, this means that climate change will likely have the effect of accelerating existing trends of urbanisation. People have flocked to cities and peri-urban areas in unprecedented numbers over the past several decades, and the projected effects of climate change will make urban options increasingly attractive. As individuals, families or even whole communities experience the effects of shifting climatic conditions, they will develop both immediate and longer term needs that can be most readily met in cities. Urbanisation is thus an important and arguably underestimated variable of migration that is induced at least in part by climate change, and has, in Southeast Asia, the potential to create and exacerbate a myriad of future challenges.

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CLIMATE CHANGE, ENVIRONMENTAL SECURITY AND NATURAL DISASTERS

News & Commentaries

Selected Publications

This policy brief explores challenges associated with the dual objectives of maintaining food security and environmental health in Southeast Asia. The brief argues that effective employment of agrotechnology represents a key part of any strategy being pursued to this end.  

This book chapter provides a conceptual overview of connections between the environment and security threats, and explores the many ways in which these considerations are relevant for contemporary South Asia. 

Events & Announcements

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ENERGY AND HUMAN SECURITY

News & Commentaries

Selected Publications

This NTS Alert reviews the application of geoengineering technologies in tackling climate change and analyses its development in the future. It points out that geoengineering remains very controversial and there would be a need for a set of mechanisms to govern and regulate states.

This is the second of two NTS Alerts on geoengineering. It highlights the need for the Asia-Pacific to engage in the debate on geoengineering given the climate change challenges faced by countries in the region and the limits in their capacity to address them. It identifies three initial steps to initiate the discussion in the region – regional consultations, scenario-building, and public and civil society engagement.

The report provides an outlook on the energy and climate security landscape in the Asia-Pacific and highlights the importance of meeting growing regional energy demands. By examining the regional mix of energy consumption and supply, it points out that natural gas is an optimal option to solve the problem. However, investment and governance in this regard need to be strengthened in order to fully explore the potential of natural gas.

Events & Announcements

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FOOD SECURITY

News & Commentaries

Selected Publications

Banerjee and Duflo question the famous 2009 Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) statistic claiming that more than 1 billion people around the world suffer from hunger. The authors also question many popular proposals aimed at solving the problems that cause food insecurity, such as increased aid provision. They suggest that perhaps, the real causes of hunger in the modern world lies not in quantity but quality of food, and that more steps need to be taken towards investing in new ways of alleviating poverty instead of repeating old methods.

Keating examines the direct ways in which global politics influence our food security and consumption patterns. Examples he cites include China’s strategic pork reserve that can be released during times of food shortage, and using cell phone technology to deliver food aid vouchers, exchangeable for staple foods at selected shops, to refugees in war zones and conflict regions.

This report provides a broad overview of global food security from an Australian perspective. It addresses the issues of population growth, global income growth, food demand and food consumption pattern changes, global food production and food trade trends, and how Australia can assist developing countries to achieve food security without compromising its own.

Events & Announcements

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HEALTH AND HUMAN SECURITY

News & Commentaries

Selected Publications

This article reviews a 2011 study titled ‘Quality of Private and Public Ambulatory Health Care in Low and Middle Income Countries: Systematic Review of Comparative Studies’ by Berendes, Heywood, Oliver and Garner. It argues that while Berendes et al.’s findings that problems of access are salient for populations as a whole are important, quality remains the most likely constraining factor in achieving universal medical care across populations.

In this piece, Kamradt-Scott counters a proposal that the 2005 International Health Regulations (IHR) should be applied to all cases of antimicrobial resistance (AMR). He argues that the IHR was designed to deal with acute public health conditions that are readily transmissible and disruptive to international trade – and not every AMR episode constitutes such a public health emergency. He also contended that the reporting requirements would be too overwhelming for the World Health Organization (WHO) and its member states.

This article presents a review of 19 programmes that provide no-fault compensation for an adverse event following vaccination, and determined their common elements, such as administration and funding, eligibility, process- and decision-making, etc. The authors argue that these programmes have been successful and viable in developed countries worldwide, and that there is a strong case for widespread implementation of such programmes in other nations.

Events & Announcements

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You are free to publish this material in its entirety or only in part in your newspapers, wire services, internet-based information networks and newsletters and you may use the information in your radio-TV discussions or as a basis for discussion in different fora, provided full credit is given to the author(s) and the Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies, S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS). Kindly inform the publisher (NTS_Centre@ntu.edu.sg) and provide details of when and where the publication was used.

About the Centre:

The Centre for Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies of the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies was inaugurated by the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Secretary-General Dr Surin Pitsuwan in May 2008. The Centre maintains research in the fields of Food Security, Climate Change, Energy Security, Health Security as well as Internal and Cross-Border Conflict. It produces policy-relevant analyses aimed at furthering awareness and building capacity to address NTS issues and challenges in the Asia-Pacific region and beyond. The Centre also provides a platform for scholars and policymakers within and outside Asia to discuss and analyse NTS issues in the region.

In 2009, the Centre was chosen by the MacArthur Foundation as a lead institution for the MacArthur Asia Security Initiative, to develop policy research capacity and recommend policies on the critical security challenges facing the Asia-Pacific.

The Centre is also a founding member and the Secretariat for the Consortium of Non-Traditional Security (NTS) Studies in Asia (NTS-Asia). More information on the Centre can be found at www.rsis.edu.sg/nts.


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